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Super Micro jumps 18% on upbeat Q4 forecast
San Jose server maker Super Micro rose about 18% in extended trading after issuing a strong fiscal fourth-quarter forecast.
The company expects adjusted profit of 65 cents to 79 cents per share on revenue of US$11.2 billion to US$12.5 billion.
The forecast topped analyst estimates of 57 US cents a share and matched expected revenue of US$11.2 billion.
For the quarter ended March 31, the company reported adjusted gross margin of 10.1% and adjusted profit of 84 US cents a share.
That beat estimates of 6.75% and 63 US cents.
Super Micro is also dealing with governance and export control scrutiny after US prosecutors in March charged co-founder Wally Liaw with diverting Nvidia servers to China.
The company was not named as a defendant.
🔗 Source: Bloomberg
🧠 Food for thought
Implications, context, and why it matters.
Supermicro’s growth is drawing heavily on cash tied up in day-to-day operations
- Revenue is expected to rise, yet the business is burning through cash faster to support that push 1.
- In the six months ended December 31, 2025, Supermicro used US$941 million in operating cash. A year earlier, it generated US$169 million over the same span 1.
- The shortfall came from steep jumps in inventory and accounts receivable. Those two items rose by about US$14.9 billion during the period 1.
- Sales are climbing, though more money is sitting in stock and unpaid invoices. Handling that strain will matter for keeping expansion on track 1.
The co-founder’s indictment raises export-control and supply-chain risk in AI hardware
- The case adds to a wider threat hanging over AI hardware companies 2.
- Prosecutors allege about US$510 million in servers moved through a Southeast Asian intermediary, a middleman company in the region, before ending up in China. The route matches a transshipment tactic used to dodge U.S. export controls, which limit sales of sensitive technology to certain countries 3.
- The action makes clear that U.S. authorities are pursuing diversion schemes, which puts server makers and other hardware vendors on alert 2.
- That pressure could force companies to review sales partners, spend more on compliance, and wait longer to close overseas deals 2.




