Spotify shares drop over 11% after revenue miss, weak guidance

Spotify shares fell over 11% on July 30, 2025, after the company missed analyst expectations and gave weaker guidance for the next quarter.

For the second quarter, the company reported a net loss of 86 million euros (US$93.74 million) or 42 euro cents (US$49) per share, compared to a profit of 225 million euros (US$260.8 million), or 1.10 euros (US$1.27) per share, a year earlier.

Revenue rose 10% to 4.19 billion euros (US$4.8 billion), below the expected 4.26 billion euros (US$4.9 billion).

Spotify cited higher costs in personnel, marketing, and professional services, as well as 115 million euros in social charges, as factors impacting results.

The company forecasts third-quarter revenue of 4.2 billion euros (US$4.8 billion), below analyst estimates of 4.47 billion euros (US$5.17 billion), according to StreetAccount.

Monthly active users increased 11% to 696 million, with premium subscribers rising 12% to 276 million. Advertising-supported revenue dipped 1% to 453 million euros.

Spotify ended the quarter with more than 7,300 employees and expanded its share repurchase program by US$ 1 billion.

🔗 Source: CNBC

🧠 Food for thought

1️⃣ Advertising struggles highlight the challenge of monetizing massive free user bases

Spotify’s advertising revenue declined 1% to €453 million despite adding millions of new users, revealing a fundamental challenge for freemium streaming platforms 1.

With ad-tier subscribers making up more than 60% of Spotify’s 696 million monthly active users, the company essentially operates a massive free service that struggles to generate proportional advertising income.

This becomes more evident when considering that Spotify’s ad revenue growth has slowed dramatically from 15% to just 6.4% in the second half of 2024, even as the platform continues expanding its user base 2.

The trend suggests that simply growing free users doesn’t automatically translate to advertising success, particularly when competing against more targeted digital advertising platforms.

CEO Daniel Ek’s acknowledgment that this represents “an execution challenge, not a problem with the strategy” indicates the company recognizes the difficulty of effectively monetizing its enormous audience through traditional advertising models.