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SpaceX moves stock vesting forward ahead of IPO plans

SpaceX has moved up the vesting date for employee stock awards to April from May.

This could leave staff with more shares eligible to sell if the company goes public.

The company could file for an IPO later in May and price it the week of June 15, though the timing could still change.

An IPO targeting a valuation above US$2 trillion, with a raise of up to US$75 billion, would be the biggest market debut ever if it goes ahead.

🔗 Source: Bloomberg

🧠 Food for thought

Implications, context, and why it matters.

The road to a SpaceX IPO runs through rising valuations

  • A target above US$2 trillion sits above recent reference points.
  • A February 2026 combination of SpaceX and xAI, Elon Musk’s AI startup, put the joint company at US$1.25 trillion, according to one account 1.
  • A December 2025 tender offer, a company-organized share sale, set SpaceX at about US$800 billion, followed by a January 2026 tender at US$421 per share 2.
  • Some forecasts for an IPO cluster around US$1.75 trillion, while one analysis modeled fair value from US$1.1 trillion to US$1.7 trillion 3.
  • An advisor-focused guide says many employees keep 50–80% of net worth in SpaceX equity, so an accelerated vesting date concentrates risk 4.

An IPO can fund Starship, while employees wait to sell

  • Faster vesting does not translate into quick cash, since post-IPO lockups often run about three to six months and limit share sales 5.
  • Taxes can still come due because vested Restricted Stock Units (RSUs), a form of employee stock compensation, often trigger income tax even when shares stay illiquid 4.
  • Starlink is profitable, yet SpaceX logged about US$20.7 billion in capital spending last year and cash burn near US$14 billion, which contributed to an overall net loss around US$5 billion 6.
  • One report estimates IPO proceeds could reach US$50 billion for Starship scale-up plus Starlink expansion, and one analysis says the US$19.6 billion purchase of EchoStar’s spectrum, the wireless airwaves used for communications services, would exceed the company’s entire estimated 2025 revenue 3.

Recent SpaceX developments

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