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SMIC sees 2025 revenue above $9b on strong chip demand

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) expects full-year revenue to exceed US$9 billion, driven by strong demand and tight foundry capacity.

The company reported Q3 revenue of US$2.4 billion, up 7.8% from the previous quarter, with a gross margin of 22%.

Quarterly gross profit rose 17.7% year-on-year to US$522.8 million, and net profit attributable to SMIC increased 28.9% to US$191.8 million.

SMIC’s manufacturing capacity expanded to more than 1 million 8-inch-equivalent wafers per month in Q3, with a utilisation rate of 95.8%.

Mainland China accounted for 86% of Q3 sales, with the Americas and Eurasia making up 11% and 3%, respectively.

For Q4, SMIC forecasted revenue to be flat or up 2% quarter-on-quarter, with gross margin between 18% and 20%.

SMIC is China’s largest chip foundry and the only mainland fab processing 7-nanometre-grade chips.

🔗 Source: South China Morning Post

🧠 Food for thought

Implications, context, and why it matters.

SMIC’s 7nm tied to Huawei; HBM could cap Huawei in 2025

  • In Q3, SMIC had 22% gross margin and 95.8% utilization, with TD Cowen estimating Huawei bought about 15,000 wafers per month out of roughly 20,000 wspm of 7nm capacity 1.
  • Ascend 910C output faces a High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) shortage, as China’s stockpile of 13 million stacks could run out by year-end, which would cap 2025 advanced packaging that pairs HBM with processor dies despite available die capacity 2.
  • SMIC 7nm yields run about 60–70% using multiple-patterning Deep Ultraviolet (DUV) rather than Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV), which extends cycle time and trails Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) early 7nm at 76% 13.
  • SMIC guides Q4 gross margin of 18–20%, and SemiAnalysis expects advanced-node (7nm and below) capacity to rise from about 45,000 wspm by end-2025 to about 80,000 wspm by 2027 2.

Secure 28nm+ outside China

  • Huawei allocation at 7nm likely tightens mature-node supply (28nm and above) for other customers.
  • United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) starts volume output in 2026 at a new Singapore fab for 22nm and 28nm, creating openings 4.
  • Fabless chip companies (designers that outsource manufacturing) targeting automotive electronics, Internet of Things (IoT) devices or power management chips should start wafer allocation talks now with non-China foundries such as UMC adding 22/28nm capacity for 2026 4.
  • Mature nodes’ combined revenue share is set to fall from 54% in 2021 to 36% in 2025, with revenue roughly flat, while 28nm grows at a 5% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 5.

Recent SMIC developments

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