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S Korea telecoms eye profit recovery in 2025 despite cyber risks

South Korea’s three leading telecom firms are forecast to generate over 4 trillion won (US$2.7 billion) in combined operating profit in 2025, despite recent cybersecurity incidents.

Analysts estimate SK Telecom, KT, and LG Uplus will reach total revenue of 60.9 trillion won (US$41.22 billion), with an operating profit of 4.4 trillion won (US$2.97 billion), marking a recovery from recent security breaches.

SK Telecom’s revenue is expected to be 17.1 trillion won (US$11.7 billion) with an operating profit of 1.1 trillion won (US$744.45 million).

KT’s annual revenue is projected at 28.2 trillion won, with an operating profit of 2.4 trillion won (US$1.62 billion), boosted by its AI initiatives and real estate sales.

LG Uplus is forecast to report 15.5 trillion won (US$10.48 billion) in revenue and 900 billion won in operating profit.

🔗 Source: The Korea Times

🧠 Food for thought

Implications, context, and why it matters.

The rebound story overlooks unresolved multi-billion won regulatory risks

  • The projected profit rebound must be weighed against unresolved oversight costs tied to security breaches and data leaks across the sector, including incidents involving SK Telecom and KT.
  • A record ₩134.791 billion fine from the Personal Information Protection Commission, Korea’s privacy regulator, is being legally challenged by SK Telecom, so the final penalty has not been set 1.
  • Penalties linked to KT’s data breach have not yet been determined, so related costs are expected to be booked in future earnings 2.
  • Until those cases are settled, a large part of the financial risk remains outside the recovery story.

The pivot to AI creates a multi-trillion won opening for infrastructure suppliers

  • Infrastructure vendors and systems integrators can treat telecom companies’ move into AI as a multi-trillion won demand wave.
  • Collectively, the three firms are expected to spend ₩6.6 trillion to ₩8 trillion on 2026 capital expenditures, with attention on AI data centers 3.
  • Projects such as SK Telecom’s new sites in Ulsan and Guro, plus KT’s plan to reach more than 500MW of capacity, set up long-term orders for high-performance computing, networking, and cooling gear 2.
  • That reallocation from legacy network buildouts to AI facilities creates a longer growth path for specialist suppliers and their investors.

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