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Cognizant forecast misses estimates, shares fall

Cognizant Technology forecast second-quarter revenue of US$5.45 billion to US$5.52 billion on April 29.

That is below analysts’ US$5.56 billion estimate.

The stock fell about 5% in premarket trading as the company pointed to cautious client spending and pressure on deal sizes.

Cognizant also narrowed its full-year revenue outlook to US$22.11 billion to US$22.64 billion from US$22.14 billion to US$22.66 billion.

First-quarter revenue rose 5.8% to US$5.41 billion in line with estimates, while health sciences revenue missed forecasts at US$1.58 billion versus US$1.66 billion.

The company said its new Project Leap program will bring restructuring charges of US$230 million to US$320 million.

It also expects savings of US$200 million to US$300 million in 2026, mainly through workforce cuts and other cost measures.

🔗 Source: Reuters

🧠 Food for thought

Implications, context, and why it matters.

The AI-fueled strategy behind Cognizant’s restructuring

  • Project Leap is a broader overhaul. Cognizant said about two-thirds of the savings will go back into growth, while one-third will fund upskilling, or training workers in new skills 1.
  • The program carries US$230 million-US$320 million in charges. That includes US$200 million-US$270 million for severance and other personnel costs 2.
  • Revenue guidance stayed cautious. Still, first-quarter bookings rose 21% from a year earlier, and the trailing 12-month book-to-bill ratio, a measure of orders won against revenue recognized, was about 1.4x 2.
  • Health Sciences slowed in part because revenue fell from third-party products tied to Cognizant’s integrated offering strategy. The hit was about 300 basis points, or 3 percentage points, from a year earlier 2.

The IT services labor model is being reshaped by AI and a broader entry-level pipeline

  • The company mirrors a wider IT services shift. Firms are trying to grow revenue without adding staff at the same pace.
  • Cognizant has not given a job-cut total for Project Leap in its own materials. Separate estimates put the figure near 4,000, while Cognizant said it hired about 20,000 entry-level workers in 2025 and plans to hire more in 2026 31.
  • The change relies on new pricing models, including AI-infused rate cards and token metering, which charge for a mix of human labor and automated digital output 1.
  • In the third quarter of 2025, revenue per employee rose 8% from a year earlier. Management treated that as a stand-in for AI-driven productivity and a changing business mix 4.

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