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China’s chip exports jump 72% as AI demand, prices surge
China’s integrated circuit exports rose 72.6% to US$43.3 billion in January and February while volumes increased 13.7% to 52.5 billion units, the General Administration of Customs said.
The jump outpaced overall export growth of 21.8% and, analysts said, reflects rising demand for AI chips alongside Beijing’s whole-nation push for semiconductor self-reliance.
Chip imports climbed 9% to 9.1 billion units and import value jumped 39.8% to US$78.2 billion in the same period.
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation, China’s largest chip foundry, produced 9.7 million wafers last year, up 21% from a year earlier.
Research firm Omdia expects China’s semiconductor market to reach US$546.5 billion this year, up 31.3%.
Counterpoint Research forecasts memory prices will jump 40–50% in Q1 2026 and a further 20% in Q2.
🔗 Source: South China Morning Post
🧠 Food for thought
Implications, context, and why it matters.
China’s chip boom is concentrated in mature nodes, not leading-edge AI
- U.S. export controls limit China’s access to certain advanced chips and semiconductor manufacturing equipment. Allied limits on ASML’s most advanced EUV (extreme ultraviolet) lithography tools would, in principle, block manufacturing at the 2- and 3-nanometer nodes 1.
- China’s chipmakers are putting more money into older, “legacy” nodes such as 28nm and above 2.
- Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC), China’s largest chip foundry, and Hua Hong Semiconductor are adding capacity at these less advanced nodes for automotive, industrial, and other mature-node uses, beyond high-performance computing 3.
- The buildout aims for scale and supply security at mature nodes. Work continues on improving domestic capabilities in advanced manufacturing and tooling over a longer timeline 4.
China’s mature-node buildout could accelerate market segmentation
- Industry estimates cited by Tom’s Hardware (a PC and semiconductor-focused technology publication) put China at more than half of new global capacity additions for mature nodes through the mid-2020s 2.
- More supply could squeeze pricing for rivals in Taiwan, Japan, and parts of Southeast Asia that depend on mature-node revenue 2.
- Over time, the market could split into two connected semiconductor ecosystems. One would center on China, while another would serve customers facing tighter geopolitical or regulatory limits 2, 4.
- This shift could lead global companies to weigh geopolitical risk alongside cost when picking suppliers 2.




