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China’s AI security market seen booming through 2030

China’s AI cybersecurity market could rise from 1.6 billion yuan (US$232 million) in 2025 to 59.4 billion yuan or US$8.7 billion by 2030 as local vendors add AI to security products, according to IDC China.

China will likely develop an equivalent to Anthropic’s Mythos even though local cybersecurity models still trail top US systems, said Austin Zhao, a senior research manager at IDC China.

AI is already being used in security operations, data security, threat detection, and intelligence analysis.

Wider adoption is driving market growth, said Zhao.

🔗 Source: South China Morning Post

🧠 Food for thought

Implications, context, and why it matters.

China’s AI security market is producing early gains

  • Chinese companies are putting AI security tools to work and seeing measurable results.
  • Alibaba Cloud’s “Agentic SOC” cut incident response time by 99% for an overseas small and medium-sized enterprise, bringing mean time to respond from several days to under 30 minutes 1.
  • State Grid Hubei Electric Power, a regional unit of China’s state power company, reduced daily security alarm analysis by more than 96%, from 50,000 alerts to fewer than 2,000, with an intelligent platform 2.
  • CITIC Telecom CPC is a Hong Kong-based information and communications technology services provider. Antiy is a Chinese cybersecurity company. Both are building in-house AI tools for specialized work, including malware detection described as “facial recognition” and a large model for threat analysis 3, 4.

Domestic AI work supports China’s cyber goals

  • The expanding home market lines up with China’s 2016 goal of becoming a “cyber power” and defending its “cyberspace sovereignty” 5.
  • QAX and Antiy Labs say they serve government clients plus other high-security customers. Antiy also says it works with military forces. That creates a path for commercial AI advances to move into state capabilities 6, 4.
  • That progress could make state-backed cyber operations more sophisticated. The McCrary Institute report says activity has moved beyond traditional espionage toward planting disruptive capabilities inside U.S. critical infrastructure 7.
  • AI may also improve stealthy “living off the land” methods, which abuse legitimate tools already inside a network. U.S. officials say Volt Typhoon, a China-linked cyber espionage group, used those methods inside U.S. critical infrastructure 8.

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