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Bitcoin set for worst Q4 since 2018

Bitcoin is on track for its weakest Q4 since 2018, with prices down over 22% so far, according to CoinGlass data.

The cryptocurrency was trading near US$88,000 on Deember 23, 2025, still about 30% below its 2025 peak and below levels seen at the start of the year.

Total cryptocurrency market capitalization has returned above US$3 trillion, but analysts caution that the current rebound may be driven by exhaustion rather than renewed investor confidence.

Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro, said the recent gains are mostly technical, and sentiment has only slightly improved, with the market’s fear and greed index at 25.

Other major tokens like ether, Solana’s SOL, Cardano’s ADA, and DOGE rose up to 2% in the past 24 hours, while Aave’s AAVE dropped 7% amid ongoing governance disputes.

🔗 Source: CoinDesk

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ETF inflows lift Bitcoin amid choppy institutional demand

  • U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which hold Bitcoin directly, took in $457.3 million on the strongest day since Nov. 11 led by Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (ticker: FBTC) at $391.5 million and iShares Bitcoin Trust (ticker: IBIT) at $111.2 million 1.
  • Weekly flows flipped negative, and November had $2.34 billion exit IBIT 23. IBIT pulled in $25.4 billion year to date despite a -9.6% return 4. Early holders take profits, while income plays like covered calls (selling call options against ETF holdings to generate income) soak up demand 3.

Neobanks and wallets can win yield-seeking funds with tokenized Treasuries

  • Tokenized U.S. Treasuries, blockchain-based representations of government bonds, reached $8.84 billion with a seven-day Annual Percentage Yield (APY) of 3.45% 5. It hit $7.3 billion, up 256% from $1.7 billion in 2024 6.
  • BlackRock’s BUIDL, a tokenized cash management vehicle that invests in short-term U.S. Treasuries, reached $2.38 billion within 15 months 6. Crypto wallets and neobanks (digital-only banks) can partner with Securitize (a registered transfer agent that keeps official ownership records) or The Bank of New York Mellon (BNY Mellon, a global custodian bank) to offer Treasury tokens for 24/7 instant settlement versus trade date plus two days (T+2) 6. Custodians include Coinbase Prime (the exchange’s institutional platform), Fidelity Digital Assets, plus BitGo 7. Platforms can embed tokenized money market funds (MMFs) as default cash to earn fees, turning idle balances into recurring revenue with U.S. government backing 8.

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