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Bitcoin heads for worst month since June 2022

Bitcoin is on track for its worst monthly drop since June 2022, falling over 19% in February and declining as much as 2.64% to US$62,858 during Asian trading hours.

The cryptocurrency has experienced five consecutive monthly drops, the longest streak since 2018, amid broader market risk-off sentiment.

The recent selloff follows a drop that began in October and coincides with global market reactions to geopolitical developments, including President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 15% global tariff rise.

Analysts note Bitcoin’s proximity to its 200-week moving average of US$58,503, with a fall below the US$58,000 to US$60,000 support zone potentially leading to further drops.

The market continues to view Bitcoin as a risk asset, despite its narrative as “digital gold,” with macroeconomic fears influencing investor behavior.

🔗 Source: Bloomberg

🧠 Food for thought

Implications, context, and why it matters.

Leverage unwind drove the February selloff

  • The selloff came from a fast unwind of leverage (borrowed exposure used to amplify returns) rather than one single liquidation event 1.
  • Bitcoin futures open interest slid from about $61 billion a week earlier to around $49 billion, down more than 20% in notional exposure over a few sessions 1.
  • The pullback lined up with one of crypto’s fastest one-day drops, with Bitcoin logging a -6.05 move on February 5 (a statistical measure of an unusually extreme swing) 1.
  • Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded product flows swung during the volatility, with outflows from some legacy Bitcoin trusts plus muted demand in newer ETFs 2.

Bitcoin drop adds pressure for corporate treasuries and miners

  • The decline creates risk for nearly 200 public companies that hold Bitcoin since they must book mark-to-market losses (accounting adjustments that use current market prices) in financial statements 3.
  • Prominent investor Michael Burry says this could trigger a “death spiral” where falling prices push companies to sell, which adds more downside pressure 3.
  • VanEck says tighter financing has squeezed some miners, especially firms pursuing AI and high-performance computing strategies (using specialized computing infrastructure to run intensive workloads). That pressure could lead to Bitcoin sales to support balance sheets and capex (capital expenditures) 1.
  • Burry says Bitcoin at $50,000 would bankrupt miners 3.

Recent Bitcoin developments

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