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Binance adds prediction markets to wallet app
Binance has added prediction markets to Binance Wallet through Predict.fun, a BNB Smart Chain platform, letting some users trade on real-world event outcomes from within the app using funds in their spot or funding accounts.
The feature is not available in all markets where Binance operates, requires a separate prediction account, and covers blockchain gas fees.
Binance said it only provides access to the third-party service and does not run the markets.
The launch comes as prediction markets expand, with monthly trading volume rising from under US$100 million to more than US$20 billion in two years, according to TokenTerminal, while Polymarket and Kalshi hold more than 97% of the market.
🔗 Source: CoinDesk
🧠 Food for thought
Implications, context, and why it matters.
Binance’s prediction markets feature leans on its own network
- Predict.fun runs the service and has funding from YZi Labs, the venture firm formerly known as Binance Labs 1.
- Large exchanges often bring in successful decentralized finance (DeFi) applications, blockchain-based financial services that run without traditional intermediaries, to ship products faster and widen what they offer 2.
- Binance Wallet pays gas fees for these transactions on BNB Smart Chain, which cuts a common hurdle for people new to on-chain activity 1.
- The setup blends a decentralized protocol with the familiar Binance Wallet interface, which reduces the earlier multi-step flow that required a separate wallet plus decentralized app connections 3.
Binance adds a tool in a prediction market shaped by automation
- Across prediction markets, automated bots spot and trade pricing gaps faster than human traders 3.
- That trend has made the space resemble professional foreign exchange and crypto trading, where algorithms capture most profitable activity, especially in ultra-short contracts on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi 3.
- The rollout fits Binance’s effort to turn Binance Wallet into a “super app,” grouping services to keep users engaged while expanding on-chain use cases inside the Binance app 4.
- Directing Binance’s large user base into the service could lift on-chain volume on BNB Smart Chain, which may bolster the network’s ecosystem 5.
Recent Binance developments
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