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Arm stock up 6% on $15b new chip revenue forecast

Arm Holdings shares rose about 6% in after-hours trading after CEO Rene Haas said the chip designer expects annual revenue of US$25 billion and earnings per share of US$9 by 2031, up from just over US$4 billion in revenue in 2025.

At an event in San Francisco, Arm unveiled its first in-house CPU for data centers, with Meta as the first customer, as it expands beyond its long-running licensing and royalty model.

Haas said the new chip, branded Arm AGI CPU and aimed at AI inference, could contribute about US$15 billion in annual revenue by 2031.

CFO Jason Child said Arm is selling the chip at roughly a 50% gross profit, while the company did not disclose pricing.

🔗 Source: CNBC

🧠 Food for thought

Implications, context, and why it matters.

Arm is joining a party it already helped start

  • Arm plans to sell its own data center chips as big tech firms build Arm-based processors for their own server fleets, a shift Arm’s designs helped enable 1.
  • Cloud providers have built in-house Arm chips for years to cut costs and rely less on vendors like Nvidia 2.
  • Google recently announced its custom Arm-based processor Axion, while Microsoft runs its Maia 200 AI chip in its data centers 21.
  • Selling its own silicon takes Arm beyond licensing its core architecture and into shipping chips, which could let it capture more value from the custom-chip push built on Arm technology 3.

Arm’s new strategy creates complex rivalries

  • Direct chip sales put Arm up against some of its largest customers, including companies that already build custom silicon from Arm designs 31.
  • The strategy also raises the stakes in data centers, especially for AI inference workloads, as Arm-based CPUs press the x86 architecture’s long-held lead in servers 3.
  • Arm would move past a licensing and royalty model into building and selling physical hardware, with a stated $60 billion market opportunity and added risk as partners may become competitors 3.

Recent Arm developments

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