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AMD sees 2nd-quarter revenue above estimates on AI spending

Advanced Micro Devices forecast second-quarter revenue above Wall Street estimates on strong demand for AI infrastructure, sending its shares up 12%.

The US chipmaker projected revenue of about US$11.2 billion, plus or minus US$300 million, ahead of analysts’ expectations of US$10.52 billion.

First-quarter revenue reached US$10.25 billion, beating estimates of US$9.89 billion, while adjusted earnings came in at US$1.37 per share. Data center revenue rose 57% to US$5.8 billion.

The company also forecast adjusted gross margin of about 56% and said server CPU revenue would rise more than 70% year on year in the second quarter.

AMD said higher memory and component costs could weaken consumer demand, with second-half PC shipments set to fall and gaming revenue expected to drop by more than 20% from the first half.

🔗 Source: Reuters

🧠 Food for thought

Implications, context, and why it matters.

AI-related computing work is helping drive AMD’s server CPU growth

  • GPUs lead most AI training work, yet AMD expects server central processing unit (CPU) revenue to rise more than 70% as AI server jobs lift demand.
  • Reinforcement learning is a way to train AI systems through feedback. Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) adds outside information to AI models. Both can strain general-purpose CPUs with data processing, simulation, and tool use 1.
  • One OpenAI buildout inside Microsoft’s Fairwater data centers pairs a 48-megawatt CPU and storage building with a 295-megawatt GPU cluster. That works out to about a 1-to-6 CPU-to-GPU power ratio 1.
  • Some leading AI labs are short on CPUs, and AMD sees a path to more than 50% of server processor revenue share from 40%, said Lisa Su, CEO of AMD 2, 1.

AMD’s outlook points to wider AI supply constraints

  • AMD’s revenue forecast looks strong in operations, though the available sources do not confirm a steady supply of High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) or CoWoS, a packaging method that links chips and memory more tightly for high-performance AI systems.
  • HBM and CoWoS remain industry chokepoints, with forecasts putting HBM above US$100 billion by 2030. Shortages are expected to last through at least 2026 and may cap GPU shipments 3, 4.
  • That leaves chipmakers competing on supply access as much as product design.
  • Firms that miss out on these scarce parts may struggle to capture AI demand as the data center GPU market heads toward US$228.04 billion by 2030 5.

Recent AMD developments

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