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SanDisk shares jump 20% on strong Q2 outlook from AI demand

SanDisk’s stock rose nearly 7% after surpassing Wall Street’s second-quarter earnings estimates, driven by increased demand for its chips amid the AI boom.

The company reported earnings of US$6.20 per share, excluding items, compared to the expected US$3.62, with revenue reaching US$3.0 billion, above the forecast of US$2.7 billion.

Shares increased over 20% in premarket trading.

For the third quarter, SanDisk projected revenue between US$4.4 billion and US$4.8 billion, exceeding the US$2.9 billion forecast, and forecasted adjusted earnings of US$12 to US$14 per share, more than double the expected US$5.10.

An analyst upgrade cited tight supply and strong data-center demand especially in data center markets, where revenue grew 64% sequentially.

The company expects third-quarter gross margins anticipated by analysts.

🔗 Source: CNBC

🧠 Food for thought

Implications, context, and why it matters.

Sandisk’s pricing power still needs proof

  • The staying power of Sandisk’s forecast 65–67% gross margins needs to be tested.
  • For that test, industry-wide NAND (a type of flash memory) bit supply growth must be reviewed, along with capacity plans such as wafer starts (how many silicon wafers chipmakers begin processing).
  • The speed of technology transitions must also be weighed.
  • A split in spending is already being set. Kioxia/Sandisk’s 41% investment increase is being planned, while Samsung and SK hynix/Solidigm’s NAND Flash spending is expected to be reduced or capped as attention shifts to High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) and dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) 1.

Higher NAND prices push buyers toward storage efficiency tools

  • Rising prices that lift Sandisk’s results also push enterprise IT teams and cloud operators to cut storage bills.
  • Software vendors and infrastructure investors can sell tiered storage software, data reduction tools, plus archiving products that place data where it fits and shrink overall footprints.
  • Hyperscalers such as Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft feel this pressure most. Their worldwide data center capital expenditures rose 59% year over year in 3Q 2025, according to Dell’Oro Group (a technology market research firm) 2.
  • These cloud providers already aim for tighter capital expenditure discipline and better asset depreciation and lifecycles, which makes them ready buyers for efficiency tools 2.

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